Serum Alkaline Phosphatase as a Predictor of Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Complications after Lumbar Spinal Fusion Surgery in Elderly: A Retrospective Study.

We retrospectively enrolled 1395 patients aged > 65 years undergoing posterior lumbar spinal fusion surgery and classified them into tertiles based on serum Alkaline Phosphatase (ALP) levels (<63, 63-79, >79 IU/L). The primary outcome was the incidence of 30-day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; composite endpoint defined as the occurrence of ≥1 of the following events: new-onset myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular mortality). The incidence of the composite endpoint was the highest in the third serum ALP tertile (0.4% vs. 0.2% vs. 2.2% in the first, second, and third tertile, respectively, = 0.003). Multivariate analysis showed that the third serum ALP tertile was an independent predictor of the composite endpoint of MACCE (odds ratio 4.507, 95% confidence interval 1.378-14.739, = 0.013). The optimal cut-off value of preoperative serum ALP showing the best discriminatory capacity to predict postoperative MACCE (measured by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis) was 83 IU/L (area under curve 0.694, 95% confidence interval 0.574-0.813, = 0.016). Preoperative serum ALP levels were independently associated with the composite endpoint of postoperative 30-days MACCE. We suggest that serum ALP can be used as a biomarker to predict cardiac and cerebrovascular complications following lumbar spinal fusion surgery in elderly patients.