Incidence, Predictors, and Impact on Survival of Long-term Cardiovascular Events After Liver Transplantation.

Background: Information on the risk factors, particularly kidney function, and impact of long-term cardiovascular events (CVE) after liver transplantation (LT) remains scarce.

Methods: This is a retrospective, single-center study that included consecutive LT recipients between 2007 and 2017. The incidence of CVE, their risk factors, and their impact on patient survival were investigated.

Results: We included 627 LT recipients. The incidence of CVE was 8% and 20% at 12 and 60 months after LT, respectively. The independent risk factors of long-term (beyond 12 mo) CVE were age at LT (hazard ratio [HR], 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.07), male gender (HR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.21-5.05), history of pre-LT cardiovascular disease (HR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.2-3.98), and immunosuppression with cyclosporine A (HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.14-3.3). In patients with pre-LT cardiovascular disease, creatinine levels 12 months after LT significantly impacted the risk of long-term CVE. Long-term CVE (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.24-3.61), hepatitis C as the etiology of liver disease (HR, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.29-3.67), cytomegalovirus infection (HR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.08-3.3), and donor age (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04) were independent factors associated with post-LT patient death.

Conclusions: Age, male gender, cardiovascular disease before LT, and cyclosporine A were associated with the risk of long-term CVE. The impact of serum creatinine was restricted to patients with pre-LT cardiovascular disease. In these patients, preservation of kidney function early after LT may lessen the incidence of CVE, which are an independent predictor of post-LT death.