An apparent paradox: resistance mutations in HIV-1 DNA predict improved virological responses to antiretroviral therapy.

Background: In sub-Saharan Africa, detecting resistance-associated mutations (RAMs) at failure of first-line ART with two NRTIs plus an NNRTI predicts improved virological responses to second-line therapy with two NRTIs plus a ritonavir-boosted PI (PI/r). This indicates residual NRTI activity in the presence of RAMs, although additional factors may contribute to the effect.

Objectives: The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of pre-existing RAMs on the outcomes of maintenance monotherapy with ritonavir-boosted darunavir within a randomized trial in Cameroon.

Methods: RAMs were detected in HIV-1 DNA using PBMCs collected at initiation of darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy. Adherence was assessed by pill count and visual analogue scale (VAS). Predictors of virological failure (confirmed or last available viral load >400 copies/mL) were explored by logistic regression analysis. Trial name = MANET (NCT02155101).

Results: After NNRTI-based therapy, participants (n = 81) had received PI/r-based therapy for a median of 3.2 years and had a confirmed viral load <60 copies/mL and a median CD4 count of 466 cells/mm3. NRTI and NNRTI RAMs were detected in 39/60 (65.0%) and 41/60 (68.3%) HIV-1 DNA sequences, respectively. Over 48 weeks of monotherapy, 16/81 (19.8%) patients experienced virological failure. After adjusting for age, HIV-1 DNA load, adherence by VAS and RAM status, virological failure was less likely with higher VAS-measured adherence (adjusted OR 0.04, 95% CI 0.01-0.37; P = 0.004) and detectable HIV-1 DNA RAMs (adjusted OR 0.15, 95% CI 0.03-0.82; P = 0.028).

Conclusions: Pre-existing NRTI and NNRTI RAMs are associated with improved virological responses to NRTI-sparing ART in sub-Saharan Africa, indicating a predictive effect that is independent of residual NRTI activity.