Nonossifying Fibromas: A Computed Tomography-based Criteria to Predict Fracture Risk.

Background: Nonossifying fibroma (NOF) is the most common benign osseous lesion in children; however, our understanding of which lesions progress to a fracture remains unclear. In this study, we seek to formulate a classification system for NOFs to assess for fracture risk and determine what this classification system tells us regarding fracture risk of the distal tibia and distal femur NOFs.

Methods: Charts were retrospectively reviewed for patients with NOFs. A 4-point criteria was created and used to calculate fracture risk for distal tibia and distal femur NOFs. The analysis included incidence, specificity, and sensitivity.

Results: One point was given for each of the following findings on computed tomography (CT) scan: (1) >50% width on coronal view; (2) >50% width on sagittal view; (3) any cortical breach; (4) lack of a neocortex. In total, 34 patients with NOFs of the distal tibia had CT scans, of which 14 fractured. Zero with a 0- or 1-point score fractured, 2 with a 2-point score fractured (20%), 4 with a 3-point score fractured (44%), and 8 with a 4-point score fractured (100%). Sensitivities of 1-, 2-, 3-, and 4-point scores were 100%, 100%, 85.7%, and 57.1%, respectively, and specificities were 71.4%, 71.4%, 80%, and 100%, respectively. A total of 41 patients with NOFs of the distal femur had CT scans, of which 5 fractured. Zero with a 0-point score fractured, 1 with a 1-point score fractured (4%), 0 with a 2-point score fractured, 1 with a 3-point score fractured (20%), and 3 with a 4-point score fractured (100%). Sensitivities of 1-, 2-, 3-, and 4-point scores were 100%, 80%, 80%, and 60%, respectively; and specificities were 60%, 87.8%, 90%, and 100%, respectively.

Conclusions: Our 4-point CT criteria is easy to apply and identifies patients at high risk of fracture, helping surgeons make decisions regarding treatment.

Level Of Evidence: Level IV-prognostic study.