Predictors of Need for Liver Transplantation in Children Undergoing Hepatoportoenterostomy for Biliary Atresia.

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to determine perioperative risk factors for need of liver transplantation following hepatoportoenterostomy.

Methods: A retrospective review of patients undergoing hepatoportoenterostomy for biliary atresia at our institution from 1990 to 2016 was completed.

Results: A total of 81 patients were identified with a median age of 51 days (IQR: 33-68) at hepatoportoenterostomy and a median follow-up time of 5.7 years (IQR: 1-11.6). Ten-year overall survival was 93% (95% CI: 84-97). Thirty-six patients (44%) ultimately required transplantation at a median time from hepatoportoenterostomy of 8.9 months (IQR: 5.2-19). The 10-year transplant-free survival was 36% (95%CI: 24-49). Steroid use (N=42) was not associated with improved 10-yr transplant-free survival (33% vs. 38%, p=0.690). Age at hepatoportoenterostomy was not significantly associated with the need for transplantation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that total bilirubin >2mg/dL (OR: 97, p<0.001) and albumin < 3.5g/dL (OR: 24, p=0.027) at 3 months after surgery were independent predictors of the need for transplantation, while adjusting for age, sex, prematurity, and steroid use.

Conclusion: Overall survival for children with biliary atresia is excellent, although most patients will ultimately require liver transplantation. Total bilirubin and albumin level at 3 months following hepatoportoenterostomy are predictive of the need for transplantation. Steroid use is not associated with improved outcomes.