Neuropeptide Y predicts cardiovascular events in chronic kidney disease patients: a cohort study.

Background: Neuropeptide Y (NPY) is a multifaceted sympathetic neurotransmitter regulating reflex cardiovascular control, myocardial cell growth, inflammation and innate immunity. Circulating NPY levels predict cardiovascular mortality in patients with end stage kidney disease on dialysis but this relationship has never been tested in predialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients.

Methods: We investigated the relationship between circulating NPY and the risk for cardiovascular events (Fine & Gray competing risks model) in a cohort of 753 stages 2-5 CKD patients over a median follow-up of 36 months.

Results: Independently of other risk factors, plasma NPY was directly related with the glomerular filtration rate (β = -0.19, P < 0.001) but was independent of systemic inflammation as quantified by serum IL6 and C reactive protein. Over follow-up 112 patients had cardiovascular events and 12 died. In analyses fully adjusted for traditional risk factors and a large series of CKD-specific risk factors and considering death as a competing event (Fine and Gray model) a 0.25 μmol/l increase in NPY robustly predicted the incident risk for cardiovascular events (subdistribution hazard ratio: 1.25; 95% confidence interval: 1.09-1.44; P = 0.002). Furthermore, the fully adjusted NPY - cardiovascular outcomes relationship was modified by age (P = 0.012) being quite strong in young patients but weaker in the old ones.

Conclusion: NPY is an independent, robust predictor of cardiovascular events in predialysis CKD patients and the risk for such events is age-dependent being maximal in young patients. These findings suggest that NPY may play a role in the high risk of cardiovascular disease in this population.