Prediction of therapeutic responses with ultrasonography in RA patients treated with an anti-TNF drug: a retrospective cohort study.

Objective: Ultrasound (US) is more sensitive and reliable than a clinical examination, and is better correlated with the disease activity in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We conducted the present study to assess the value of US as a screening tool to predict therapeutic responses in RA patients treated with anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) drugs.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the cases of 86 consecutive RA patients who were classified by their DAS28-CRP scores at the 54th week. We assessed two US findings (i.e., the synovial hypertrophy index [SHI] and synovial vascularization) by grey-scale imaging and the Doppler synovitis index (DSI).

Results: When we applied cut-off points determined by a ROC curve analysis, patients with a lower total SHI (≤34) or DSI (≤7) at baseline were significantly more likely to reach remission (44 patients, 51.2%) as shown by the DAS28-CRP at 54 weeks. On the basis of these cut-off values, we dichotomized all variables and performed a logistic regression analysis using the 54-weeks data; the only predictive factors of remission with anti-TNF therapy were the patients' baseline DAS28-CRP ≤2.7 as low disease activity/remission, and the SHI.

Conclusion: An ultrasound assessment would be a highly useful predictor of the achievement of clinical remission.