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Predicting wildlife reservoirs and global vulnerability to zoonotic Flaviviruses. | LitMetric

Predicting wildlife reservoirs and global vulnerability to zoonotic Flaviviruses.

Nat Commun

EpiCenter for Disease Dynamics, One Health Institute, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California Davis, One Shields Ave, CA, 95616, USA.

Published: December 2018

AI Article Synopsis

  • Flaviviruses are causing significant global epidemics and are appearing in new regions, but the factors behind their emergence and spread are not fully understood.
  • Researchers have identified potential wildlife reservoirs of flaviviruses and analyzed ecological traits to assess the risk of these viruses transmitting among animal populations and identify outbreak-prone regions.
  • By combining data on host variability with ecological and climatic models, the study predicts new potential host species and enhances global surveillance efforts for flavivirus outbreaks in both animals and humans.

Article Abstract

Flaviviruses continue to cause globally relevant epidemics and have emerged or re-emerged in regions that were previously unaffected. Factors determining emergence of flaviviruses and continuing circulation in sylvatic cycles are incompletely understood. Here we identify potential sylvatic reservoirs of flaviviruses and characterize the macro-ecological traits common to known wildlife hosts to predict the risk of sylvatic flavivirus transmission among wildlife and identify regions that could be vulnerable to outbreaks. We evaluate variability in wildlife hosts for zoonotic flaviviruses and find that flaviviruses group together in distinct clusters with similar hosts. Models incorporating ecological and climatic variables as well as life history traits shared by flaviviruses predict new host species with similar host characteristics. The combination of vector distribution data with models for flavivirus hosts allows for prediction of  global vulnerability to flaviviruses and provides potential targets for disease surveillance in animals and humans.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6303316PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07896-2DOI Listing

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