Five-year-term results in cirrhotics without varices, either affected or not by portal hypertensive gastropathy.

Objectives: Information is lacking on the appearance of varices in cirrhotics, either affected or not by portal hypertensive gastropathy (PHG). We assessed whether the absence or presence and the grade of PHG influenced the development of varices in cirrhotics without varices over time.

Patients And Methods: Forty cirrhotics without varices affected or not by PHG at baseline underwent follow-up endoscopy after 5 years. One-tailed t-test and the χ-test were used to evaluate variable comparison and the presence of associations. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and the analysis of variance test were carried out to compare the variables and identify predictors of varices.

Results: The Child-Pugh score at baseline and after 5 years was significantly different (5.72±0.98 vs. 6.25±1.67, P<0.001). After 5 years, 10 (25%) cirrhotics were affected by varices, whereas 30 (75%) patients remained without varices. PHG was associated significantly with varices (P=0.001), proving to be a significant predictive independent factor for their development over time (F=4.765, significant=0.004; analysis of variance test, P<0.001).

Conclusion: A link between the duration of PHG and the development of varices is likely. An early therapeutic management of PHG might delay the development of varices in cirrhotics.