Glomerular basement membrane duplication is a predictor of the prognosis of diabetic nephropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Background: Several clinical parameters and pathological findings are known to be predictors of the deterioration of diabetic nephropathy (DN). Glomerular basement membrane duplication (GBM-DP) is a pathological feature representing endothelial injury, which is commonly observed in DN. In the present study, we investigated the association between GBM-DP and the renal prognosis in DN.

Methods: The study enrolled 80 patients with renal biopsy-proven DN who were managed at Chiba-East Hospital from 2005 to 2012. We confirmed the pathological findings according to the Renal Pathology Society classifications, and we further evaluated the GBM-DP, which was defined as double contours of the GBM that expanded more than 10% of capillary loops in the most affected nonsclerotic glomerulus. We used Cox regression models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for end-stage renal disease (ESRD), with adjustment for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, HbA1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and urinary protein excretion (UP) at baseline.

Results: Of the 80 patients, 56 were male (70.0%) and the mean age was 59.1 years. The median eGFR and UP were 42 ml/min/1.73 m (IQR 30, 59) and 3.1 g/gCr (IQR 1.2, 5.2). Twenty-seven patients progressed to ESRD and one patient died during the median observational period of 2.9 years (IQR 1.5, 4.3). The multivariable analyses showed that GBM-DP was significantly associated with ESRD (HR 3.18 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-9.87], p = 0.045).

Conclusion: We newly identified GBM-DP as a strong prognostic predictor in DN patients. Further study is needed to clarify the pathogenic mechanism of GBM-DP in DN.