Early clinical predictors of pneumonia in critically ill spinal cord injured individuals: a retrospective cohort study.

Study Design: Retrospective cohort.

Objectives: Pneumonia is the dominant complication following traumatic spinal cord injury (SCI) and profoundly impacts morbidity by prolonging length of stay and worsening neurological outcome. The aims of this study were to determine the key predictors of clinically important pneumonia (CIP); and to examine the impact of CIP on resource utilisation in critically ill acute traumatic SCI individuals between 2010 and 2015.

Setting: Alfred and Austin Hospitals (Melbourne, Australia).

Methods: Data were extracted from the medical records of 93 cases of acute traumatic SCI resulting in ISNCSCI C3-L1 level of injury requiring admission to the intensive care unit and aged between 15 and 70 years. Patients with life-threatening injuries, not requiring spinal surgery, palliated within 7 days of injury, diagnosis of traumatic central cord syndrome or with poor general health, were excluded.

Results: A total of 33 episodes of CIP were observed. Median time to CIP diagnosis was 65 h (IQR: 42-93) and median time to spinal surgery was 22 h (IQR: 12-32). Four key predictors were identified; male gender (OR: 18.3, CI: 1.9-174.9, p = 0.001), motor complete injury (OR: 10.1, CI: 1.1-92.1, p = 0.011), presence of chest trauma (OR: 4.5, CI: 1.4-14.4, p = 0.007) and delayed intubation (HR: 6.8, CI: 1.6-28.6, p = 0.009).

Conclusions: This study identifies four key predictors involved in elevated pneumonia risk; male gender, motor complete injury, presence of chest trauma and delayed intubation, enabling the future synthesis of a pneumonia prediction tool for use in the acute postinjury period.