Higher Serum Fibroblast Growth Factor-23 Levels and the Risk of Stroke and Its Subtypes: Evidence From a Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies.

Background: Epidemiologic studies have indicated conflicting associations of fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23) with the risk of stroke. To this end, a meta-analysis of prospective studies was conducted to assess the association.

Methods: Relevant studies were identified by searching PubMed and Embase databases to March 23, 2018. Relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were combined with the fixed-effects model or random-effects model according to the degree of heterogeneity. Moreover, stratified analyses and sensitivity analysis were carried out for further analysis.

Results: Seven prospective studies involving 1988 stroke events among 18048 participants were eligible for our meta-analysis. The combined RRs for total stroke were 1.29 (95% CI: 1.10, 1.52) for the highest versus lowest category of FGF23, with low heterogeneity among studies (P = 0.38, I = 6.1%). Stratified analyses showed that the combined RRs for ischemic stroke (IS) and hemorrhagic stroke (HS) risk were 1.12 (95% CI: 0.92, 1.37) and 2.63 (95% CI: 1.61, 4.30), respectively. In the stratification by geographic areas, the association between higher FGF23 and stroke was similar with studies performed in the United States (RR = 1.24, 95%CI: 1.03, 1.49) and Europe (RR = 1.88, 95%CI: 0.77, 4.55); however, only the results in the United States were statistically significant. Sensitivity analysis indicated the combined results were robust.

Conclusions: Our meta-analysis showed that higher FGF23 levels were associated with an increased risk of stroke. The positive association consistently existed in HS rather than in IS. Further studies are required to confirm these causal associations and to investigate the mechanisms.