Two-Year Survival After First-Ever Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese - Shiga Stroke Registry.

Background: Stroke is one of the leading causes of disability and mortality in Japan. The aim of the present analysis was to determine the non-acute survival rate after first-ever stroke using data from a large-scale population-based stroke registry in Japan.

Methods and results: Shiga Stroke Registry is an ongoing population-based registry of stroke, which covers approximately 1.4 million residents of Shiga Prefecture in central Japan. A total of 2,176 first-ever stroke patients, who were registered in 2011, were followed up until December 2013. The 2-year cumulative survival rates were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method according to index stroke subtype. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess predictors of all-cause death. During a 2-year follow-up period, 663 patients (30.5%) died. The 2-year cumulative survival rate after first-ever stroke was 69.5%. There was heterogeneity in 2-year cumulative survival according to stroke subtype: lacunar infarction, 87.2%; large artery infarction, 76.1%; cardioembolic infarction, 55.4%; intracerebral hemorrhage, 65.9%; and subarachnoid hemorrhage, 56.7%. Older age, male sex, medical history, higher Japan coma scale score on admission, and stroke subtype were associated with risk of all-cause death in ≤2 years.

Conclusions: In the present population-based stroke registry with a real-world setting in Japan, 2-year cumulative mortality after first-ever stroke is still high (>30%), particularly for cardioembolic infarction, subarachnoid hemorrhage and intracerebral hemorrhage.