Background: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) causes appreciable morbidity and mortality in adults, especially in those ≥65 years of age. At hospital admission, an immediate and reliable risk assessment is necessary to detect patients with possible fatal outcome.
Objective: We aimed to evaluate markers of the autonomic nervous system based on an electrocardiogram to predict mortality in patients with CAP.
Methods: For this purpose, the deceleration capacity (DC) of heart rate was calculated in 253 patients who presented to the emergency department with CAP. The 30-day mortality rate was defined as the primary endpoint (PEP). The secondary endpoint was the total mortality within 180 days.
Results: PEP was reached in 33 patients (13%). The DC, measured in milliseconds, was significantly lower in patients who reached the PEP than in those who did not (2.3 ± 1.5 ms vs. 3.6 ± 2.3 ms, p = 0.004). The DC was also significantly lower in nonsurvivors than in survivors at the time of the secondary endpoint (2.3 ± 1.5 ms vs. 3.7 ± 2.4 ms, p < 0.001). Our results indicate that DC is an independent predictor of 30- and 180-day mortality.
Conclusion: DC was independently associated with death from CAP in our study. As a practical consequence, DC could be useful in triage decisions. Patients with certain high risks could benefit from adjuvant treatment and special medical attention.
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