Prognostic value of carotid intima-media in the short- and long-term mortality in the Strategy of Registry of Acute Coronary Syndrome (ERICO) study.

Background And Aims: Atherosclerotic in carotids can determinate a poor prognosis in individuals after acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Thus, we aimed to evaluate mortality associated to carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) in the participants from the Strategy of Registry of Acute Coronary Syndrome (ERICO) study.

Methods: Carotid intima media thickness was evaluated by B-mode ultrasound for mortality risk assessment in 180 days, 1-3 years. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox logistic regression models to evaluate all-cause, cardiovascular (CVD) and coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality by CIMT tertiles in crude, age and sex- and multivariate models.

Results: Among 644 ACS individuals (median age 61-year old), we observed a median CIMT of 0.74 mm. Besides aging, low education, hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia were associated with the 3rd tertile of CIMT values. During 3 years of follow-up, we observed 65 deaths (10.1%), crude case-fatality rates were progressively higher across the CIMT tertiles in all periods, being the highest rates observed in participants with the highest CIMT (3rd tertile) (180-day: 6.6% vs 1-year: 9.0% vs 2-year:12.3% vs 3-year:16.0%, P < .05). In crude analyses, lowest survival rates (all-cause, CVD and CHD, p log-rank values <0.005) and higher hazard ratios of dying for all-cause and CVD (from 1 to 3 years) and for CHD (2 and 3 years) were observed. However, we kept no significant results after adjusting for age.

Conclusion: Carotid intima media thickness was mainly influenced by aging. CIMT was not a good predictor of all-cause, CVD or CHD mortality in the ERICO study.