AI Article Synopsis
- Modeling is essential for understanding how climate change affects agriculture and how to adapt to those effects, with recent initiatives like MACSUR and AgMIP leading developments in this area.
- Emphasis is placed on the need for deeper insights into the mechanisms of climate impacts and management strategies for adaptation and mitigation.
- Future research should prioritize a focus on diverse cropping systems and multi-scale assessments, particularly in complex tropical systems, while enhancing the integration of experimental data with modeling techniques.
Article Abstract
Modelling is a key tool to explore agricultural impacts of and adaptations to climate change. Here we report recent progress made especially referring to the large project initiatives MACSUR and AgMIP; in particular, in modelling potential crop impacts from field to global using multi-model ensembles. We identify two main fields where further progress is necessary: a more mechanistic understanding of climate impacts and management options for adaptation and mitigation; and focusing on cropping systems and integrative multi-scale assessments instead of single season and crops, especially in complex tropical and neglected but important cropping systems. Stronger linking of experimentation with statistical and eco-physiological crop modelling could facilitate the necessary methodological advances.
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| http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pbi.2018.05.009 | DOI Listing |
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