Shifts in Medicaid and Uninsured Payer Mix at Safety-Net and Non-Safety-Net Hospitals During the Great Recession.

There has been ongoing concern regarding the viability of safety-net hospitals (SNHs), which care for vulnerable populations. The authors examined payer mix at SNHs and non-SNHs during a period covering the Great Recession using data from the 2006 to 2012 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases from 38 states. The number of privately insured stays decreased at both SNHs and non-SNHs. Non-SNHs increasingly served Medicaid-enrolled and uninsured patients; in SNHs, the number of Medicaid stays decreased and uninsured stays remained stable. These study findings suggest that SNHs were losing Medicaid-enrolled patients relative to non-SNHs before the Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Postexpansion, Medicaid stays will likely increase for both SNHs and non-SNHs, but the increase at SNHs may not be as large as expected if competition increases. Because hospital stays with private insurance and Medicaid help SNHs offset uncompensated care, a lower-than-expected increase could affect SNHs' ability to care for the remaining uninsured population. Continued monitoring is needed once post-ACA data become available.