Ovarian endometriosis: risk factor analysis and prediction of malignant transformation.

Introduction: For the prediction of endometriosis associated ovarian carcinoma (EAOC), the risk factors for malignant ovarian endometriosis (MOE) were explored.

Material And Methods: A group of 104 EAOC patients was compared with a group of 104 ovarian endometrial cyst patients. Using single and multivariate risk analysis of EAOC by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver-operator characteristics (ROC) curves, risks of MOE transformation were calculated for various burdens of risk factors.

Results: The age range of 85 EAOC patients (81.73% of EAOC patients) was from 40 to 60 years old, as menopause occurs most frequently in this age range. From single factor ROC curve analysis, if disease duration/age/menopause/times of pregnancy/multiple foci of endometriosis index AUC were above 0.70, this suggested that the above indicators were predictive of MOE. Times of pregnancy/tumour size/myoma of uterus/multiple foci of endometriosis were taken as the independent risk factors of MOE. Using logistic regression, the AUC of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.84-0.94) was statistically significant ( < 0.001), illustrating the predictive power of this model.

Conclusions: Times of pregnancy/BMI/irregular vaginal bleeding/thyroid disease/myoma of uterus/tumour serious fixation index indicate higher risk of MOE; age/tumour size/menopause/disease duration/ dysmenorrhea/multiple foci of endometriosis suggest lower risk of MOE. Therefore, in patients with endometriosis, malignant transformation could be predicted early.