A sex-structured model with birth pulse and release strategy for the spread of Wolbachia in mosquito population.

J Theor Biol

Key Laboratory of Eco-environments in Three Gorges Reservoir Region (Ministry of Education), School of Mathematics and Statistics, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China. Electronic address:

Published: July 2018

Dengue fever is one of the most important diseases causing illness and death all over the world, which brings tremendous threat to peoples' life and property security, especially in the undeveloped areas. The main vector, Aedes aegypti, must be controlled to prevent the transmission of dengue. There are a variety of methods to control it. Wolbachia is an innovative bacterium which breaks the dengue transmission cycle for its characteristics of cytoplasmic incompatibility and maternal transmission. In this paper, a sex-structured model with birth pulse is established to study the spread of Wolbachia in mosquito population. The results show that if the maternal transmission is perfect, Wolbachia will spread successfully. Moreover, all the mosquitoes will be infected with Wolbachia. If the maternal transmission is imperfect, there are two locally asymptotically stable periodic solutions. One is Wolbachia-extinction periodic solution, and the other is part replacement periodic solution. Numerical simulations show that the initial occupancy of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes has an important effect on the success of part replacement strategy. If the initial occupancy is relatively large, the part replacement strategy can be successful. Furthermore, in consideration of the fact that the initial occupancy cannot be always large enough in the wild nature, to release Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes artificially into the wild nature becomes necessary. Therefore, we add a release strategy into the sex-structured model with birth pulse for further analysis. The condition to ensure the stability of the Wolbachia total replacement periodic solution is obtained. Finally, the effect of the release quantity is simulated numerically.

Download full-text PDF

Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2018.04.001DOI Listing

Publication Analysis

Top Keywords

sex-structured model
12
model birth
12
birth pulse
12
maternal transmission
12
periodic solution
12
initial occupancy
12
release strategy
8
spread wolbachia
8
wolbachia mosquito
8
mosquito population
8

Similar Publications

Children younger than 5 years and women, especially pregnant women, are at high risk of malaria and death because of their weak immunity and exposure to mosquitoes. Several studies have considered only the age-structured model and other factors but have not considered sex. The objective of this work is to develop and analyze the malaria transmission model including this structure, to contribute to existing measures and mechanisms to eradicate malaria in Rwanda.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Understanding how demographic parameters change with density is essential for predicting the resilience of small populations. We use long-term, individual-based life history data from an isolated population of the Critically Endangered Northern Muriqui (Brachyteles hypoxanthus) inhabiting a 1000-ha protected forest to evaluate density-dependent demographic rates before and after an abrupt population decline. We found no effect of density on fertility or birth sex ratio, but mortality rates increased linearly with log density over the 33 years of population growth (1983-2015) and the subsequent 7 years of population decline (2016-2022).

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

This work aims to study the role of sex disparities on the overall outcome of influenza A disease. Therefore, the classical Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) endemic model was extended to include the impact of sex disparities on the overall dynamics of influenza A infection which spreads in an open population with a varying size, and took the potential lethality of the infection. The model was mathematically analyzed, where the equilibrium and bifurcation analyses were established.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Using a Dynamic Model to Estimate the Cost-Effectiveness of HPV Vaccination in Iran.

Vaccines (Basel)

April 2024

Maternal-Fetal Medicine Research Center, Department of Midwifery, School of Nursing and Midwifery, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz 71936-13119, Iran.

This study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of vaccination against HPV. An age-sex structured dynamic disease transmission model was created to estimate the spread of HPV and the HPV-related incidence of cervical cancer (CC) in Iran. Sixteen age groups of men and women were incorporated to reflect the differences in sexual preferences, vaccination uptake, and disease-related outcomes.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Leishmaniasis are a group of diseases caused by more than 20 species of the protozoan that are transmitted through the bite of female sand fly. The disease is endemic to 98 countries of the world. It affects most commonly the poorest of the poor and mainly males.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?

Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!