Active surveillance for antenatally detected ureteroceles: Predictors of success.

Introduction: Historically, ureteroceles were surgically treated, as patients were diagnosed after developing symptoms. However, with the advance of fetal medicine, antenatal detection has provided an opportunity to look at the natural history of ureteroceles.

Objectives: With data derived from a retrospective chart review of patients with ureteroceles that were detected antenatally, the current study aimed to determine which group of children would be at risk for failure on active surveillance. It was hypothesized that single system ureteroceles (SSU) and male patients with duplex system ureteroceles (DSU) would be ideal for observation.

Methods: Outcomes were assessed by descriptive statistics. Kaplan-Meier curves were utilized to estimate median duration on active surveillance in both single and duplex cohorts. Breakthrough febrile urinary tract infection (fUTI) and surgery were determined by Cox regression in the duplex system cohort. Surgery was considered surveillance failure.

Results: A total of 102 patients (64 females/38 males) met the criteria: 78 (76.5%) had DSU and 24 (23.5%) SSU. The overall median observation was 1.2 years (range 0.7-3.1). Follow-up ranged from 0.3 to 11.7 years for SSU, and from 0.02 to 17.3 years for DSU. The predictors of failure of active surveillance (AS) in DSU (surgical intervention) were male gender (HR 1.8, 1.0-3.3, P = 0.037), or fUTI (HR 3.1, 1.7-5.8, P = 0.002). Predictors of fUTI were contralateral hydroureter or ipsilateral hydronephrosis ± hydroureter (OR 9.5, 1.2-71.7, P = 0.028). Interestingly, vesicoureteral reflux (VUR) was not a predictor of fUTI. The SSU patients were ideal for AS, while in DSU, surveillance was successful in 30% of patients who were primarily females without contralateral hydroureter or ipsilateral hydronephrosis ± hydroureter. However, in contradiction to the hypothesis, males were at higher risk for surgical intervention in the DSU cohort.

Conclusion: Active surveillance is an option for patients with antenatally detected ureteroceles, but careful long term follow up is mandatory. Parents should be advised that surgical intervention may still be necessary, particularly in males with DSU.