FDG PET/CT after first molecular targeted therapy predicts survival of patients with renal cell carcinoma.

Purpose: We investigated prospectively whether F-2-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (FDG PET/CT) can predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC) previously treated by molecular targeted therapies.

Methods: Between 2009 and 2016, 81 patients who had received single molecular targeted therapies (43 sorafenib, 27 sunitinib, 8 temsirolimus and others) and were scheduled for second line molecular targeted therapies for advanced RCC were enrolled in this prospective study. FDG PET/CT was performed after first line molecular targeted therapies, the max SUVmax (highest standardized uptake value for each patient) recorded, and its association with OS compared with those of known risk factors. The median follow-up was 15.4 months (range 0.9-97.4 months).

Results: The max SUVmax of the 81 subjects ranged from undetectable to 23.0 (median 7.1). Patients with high max SUVmax had a poor prognosis and multivariate analysis with established risk factors showed that it was an independent predictor of survival (p < 0.001; hazard ratio 1.156; 95% confidence interval 1.080-1.239). Subclassification of patients by max SUVmax showed that the median OS of patients with max SUVmax < 7.0 (39), 7.0-12.0 (30), and ≥ 12.0 (12) were 32.8, 15.2, and 6.0 months, respectively. These differences are statistically significant (< 7.0 versus 7.0-12.0: p = 0.0333, 7.0-12.0 versus ≥ 12.0: p = 0.0235).

Conclusions: The max SUVmax by FDG PET/CT of patients with RCC evaluated after their first molecular targeted therapy predicts OS. FDG PET/CT is a useful "imaging biomarker" for patients with advanced RCC planning sequential molecular targeted therapies.