In 2010, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention began to develop an Influenza Risk Assessment Tool (IRAT) to methodically capture and assess information relating to influenza A viruses not currently circulating among humans. The IRAT uses a multiattribute, additive model to generate a summary risk score for each virus. Although the IRAT is not intended to predict the next pandemic influenza A virus, it has provided input into prepandemic preparedness decisions.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5823356PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2403.171852DOI Listing

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