Crohn's Disease Candidate Gene Alleles Predict Time to Progression from Inflammatory B1 to Stricturing B2, or Penetrating B3 Phenotype.

Aim: Crohn's disease (CD) patients are mostly diagnosed with the uncomplicated inflammatory form of disease; however, the majority will progress to complicated stricturing or penetrating disease over time. It is important to identify patients at risk for disease progression at an early stage. The aim of our study was to examine the role of 33 candidate CD genes as possible predictors of disease progression and their influence on time to progression from an inflammatory to a stricturing or penetrating phenotype.

Methods: Patients with an inflammatory phenotype at diagnosis were followed for 10 years and 33 CD-associated polymorphisms were genotyped. To test for association with CD, 449 healthy individuals were analyzed as the control group.

Results: Ten years after diagnosis, 39.1% of patients had not progressed beyond an inflammatory phenotype, but 60.9% had progressed to complicated disease, with average time to progression being 5.91 years. Association analyses of selected single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) confirmed associations with CD for 12 SNPs. Furthermore, seven loci were associated with disease progression, out of which SNP rs4263839 in the gene TNFSF15 showed the strongest association with disease progression and the frameshift mutation rs2066847 in the gene NOD2 showed the strongest association with time to progression.

Conclusions: The results of our study identified specific genetic biomarkers as useful predictors of both disease progression and speed of disease progression in patients with CD.