Accuracy of the TIMI and GRACE scores in predicting coronary disease in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome.

Introduction: The GRACE and TIMI scores have been well validated for assessment of prognosis in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). However, their value in predicting coronary artery disease (CAD) has been little studied. We aimed to assess the relationship between these scores and the extent of coronary disease.

Methods: We analyzed 238 consecutive patients admitted for NSTE-ACS and undergoing a coronary angiogram during hospitalization. The severity of CAD was assessed using the SYNTAX score. Obstructive CAD was defined as ≥50% stenosis in the left main or ≥70% stenosis in other vessels. Severe CAD was defined as a SYNTAX score >32. The Pearson test was used to assess the correlation between scores.

Results: The SYNTAX score was higher in patients at high risk (GRACE score: p<0.001 and TIMI score: p=0.001). Moreover, there was a significant positive correlation between the GRACE and SYNTAX scores (r=0.23, p<0.001) as well as between TIMI and SYNTAX (r=0.2, p=0.002). Both clinical scores can predict obstructive CAD moderately well (area under the curve [AUC] for GRACE score: 0.599, p=0.015; TIMI score: AUC 0.639, p=0.001) but not severe disease. A GRACE score of 120 and a TIMI score of 2 were predictive of obstructive CAD with, respectively, a sensitivity of 57% and 75.7% and a specificity of 61.8% and 47.9%.

Conclusion: The GRACE and TIMI scores correlate moderately with the extent of coronary disease assessed by the SYNTAX score. They can predict obstructive CAD but not severe disease.