Prediction of Local Transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Isolates of a Predominantly Beijing Lineage by Use of a Variable-Number Tandem-Repeat Typing Method Incorporating a Consensus Set of Hypervariable Loci.

Strain genotyping based on the variable-number tandem repeat (VNTR) is widely applied for identifying the transmission of A consensus set of four hypervariable loci (1982, 3232, 3820, and 4120) has been proposed to improve the discrimination of Beijing lineage strains. Herein, we evaluated the utility of these four hypervariable loci for tracing local tuberculosis transmission in 981 cases over a 14-month period in Japan (2010 to 2011). We used six different VNTR systems, with or without the four hypervariable loci. Patient ages and weighted standard distances (a measure of the dispersion of genotype-clustered cases) were used as proxies for estimating local tuberculosis transmission. The highest levels of isolate discrimination were achieved with VNTR systems that incorporated the four hypervariable loci (i.e., the Japan Anti-Tuberculosis Association [JATA]18-VNTR, mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit [MIRU]28-VNTR, and 24-VNTR). The clustering rates by JATA12-VNTR, MIRU15-VNTR, JATA15-VNTR, JATA18-VNTR, MIRU28-VNTR, and 24-VNTR systems were 52.2%, 51.0%, 39.0%, 24.1%, 23.1%, and 22.0%, respectively. As the discriminative power increased, the median weighted standard distances of the clusters tended to decrease (from 311 to 80 km, < 0.001, Jonckheere-Terpstra trend test). Concurrently, the median ages of patients in the clusters tended to decrease (from 68 to 60 years, < 0.001, Jonckheere-Terpstra trend test). These findings suggest that strain typing using the four hypervariable loci improves the prediction of active local tuberculosis transmission. The four-locus set can therefore contribute to the targeted control of tuberculosis in settings with high prevalence of Beijing lineage strains.