AI Article Synopsis
- This study aimed to identify a clinical risk score for pancreatic fistulas after distal pancreatectomy, a common complication that can lead to increased morbidity in patients.
- The analysis included data from 2,026 surgeries conducted by 52 surgeons over 15 years, revealing that factors such as age, obesity, and the absence of epidural anesthesia significantly increase the risk of developing clinically relevant pancreatic fistulas.
- Despite identifying these risk factors, the study concluded that a reliable predictive model for pancreatic fistula occurrence remains elusive, and certain mitigation strategies did not significantly impact the risk, except for intraoperative drainage which increased fistula rates but lessened their severity.
Article Abstract
Objective: To identify a clinical fistula risk score following distal pancreatectomy.
Background: Clinically relevant pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) following distal pancreatectomy (DP) is a dominant contributor to procedural morbidity, yet risk factors attributable to CR-POPF and effective practices to reduce its occurrence remain elusive.
Methods: This multinational, retrospective study of 2026 DPs involved 52 surgeons at 10 institutions (2001-2016). CR-POPFs were defined by 2016 International Study Group criteria, and risk models generated using stepwise logistic regression analysis were evaluated by c-statistic. Mitigation strategies were assessed by regression modeling while controlling for identified risk factors and treating institution.
Results: CR-POPF occurred following 306 (15.1%) DPs. Risk factors independently associated with CR-POPF included: age (<60 yrs: OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.05-1.82), obesity (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.19-2.12), hypoalbuminenia (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.06-2.51), the absence of epidural anesthesia (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.17-2.16), neuroendocrine or nonmalignant pathology (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.18-2.06), concomitant splenectomy (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.25-3.17), and vascular resection (OR 2.29, 95% CI 1.25-3.17). After adjusting for inherent risk between cases by multivariable regression, the following were not independently associated with CR-POPF: method of transection, suture ligation of the pancreatic duct, staple size, the use of staple line reinforcement, tissue patches, biologic sealants, or prophylactic octreotide. Intraoperative drainage was associated with a greater fistula rate (OR 2.09, 95% CI 1.51-3.78) but reduced fistula severity (P < 0.001).
Conclusions: From this large analysis of pancreatic fistula following DP, CR-POPF occurrence cannot be reliably predicted. Opportunities for developing a risk score model are limited for performing risk-adjusted analyses of mitigation strategies and surgeon performance.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/SLA.0000000000002491 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!