A multi-criteria approach to identify favorable areas for goat production systems in Veracruz, México.

Trop Anim Health Prod

Coordinación de Postgrado e Investigación, Instituto Tecnológico de Tuxtepec, Calzada Dr. Víctor Bravo A. s/n, Tuxtepec, Oaxaca, Código Postal 68350, Mexico.

Published: April 2017

AI Article Synopsis

  • The research identifies suitable areas for goat farming in Veracruz, Mexico, using a model that combines various biophysical and soil data.
  • The study reveals that 6.25% of the state has high favorability for goat production, while 4.15% has moderate favorability, particularly in mountainous regions like Sierra de Huayacocotla, Perote, and Orizaba.
  • The model's accuracy is validated through statistical measures (area under the curve: 0.96, true skill statistic: 0.86) and alignment with existing census data.

Article Abstract

This research identifies favorable areas for goat production systems in the state of Veracruz, Mexico. Through the use of the analytic hierarchy process, layers of biophysical and soil information were combined to generate a model of favorability. Model validation was performed by calculating the area under the curve, the true skill statistic, and a qualitative comparison with census records. The results showed the existence of regions with high (4494.3 km) and moderate (2985.8 km) favorability, and these areas correspond to 6.25 and 4.15%, respectively, of the state territory and are located in the regions of Sierra de Huayacocotla, Perote, and Orizaba. These regions are characterized as mountainous and having predominantly temperate-wet or cold climates, and having montane mesophilic forests, containing pine, fir, and desert scrub. The reliability of the distribution model was supported by the area under the curve value (0.96), the true skill statistic (0.86), and consistency with census records.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11250-017-1249-0DOI Listing

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