The Value of the Electrocardiogram for Evaluating Prognosis in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Background: Association between electrocardiography (ECG) features and right ventricular anatomy and physiology has been established. This study is aimed to identify the value of 12-lead ECG in evaluating prognosis of patients with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH).

Method: 194 patients with newly diagnosed IPAH were included in this study. Correlations between electrocardiography variables and hemodynamics were assessed. Univariate and multivariable cox regression analysis were performed to identify ECG variables for predicting all-cause mortality in IPAH.

Results: Partial correlation analysis showed that P wave amplitude in lead II correlated with the mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP, r = 0.349, p ≤ 0.001) and cardiac index (CI, r = -0.224, p = 0.002); R wave amplitude in V1 correlated with mPAP (r = 0.359, p ≤ 0.001); S wave amplitude in V6 correlated with mPAP (r = 0.259, p = 0.030) and CI (r = -0.220, p = 0.003). P wave amplitude in lead II (HR 1.555, p = 0.033) and R wave amplitude in lead aVR (HR 5.058, p < 0.001) were the independent predictors of all-cause mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed patients with a p ≥ 0.25 mv in lead II, and R ≥ 0.4 mv in lead aVR had lower 3-year survival (55 vs. 91%, p < 0.001).

Conclusion: Specific lead-12 ECG features could reflect right ventricular overload hemodynamics, and are useful to evaluate prognosis of patients with IPAH.