AI Article Synopsis

  • The study analyzed data from 285 patients with confirmed Ebola virus disease (EVD) treated at Jui Government Hospital in Sierra Leone during the 2014-2015 outbreak, focusing on recovery and mortality rates.
  • Out of the 285 patients, 146 recovered, leading to an overall survival rate of 51.23%, with very young children (under 6 years) having the lowest survival at 37.50%.
  • Key factors that predicted poor outcomes included high blood viral load, confusion, abdominal pain, vomiting, and conjunctivitis, with most deaths occurring within the first week of hospitalization.

Article Abstract

Background: Clinical and laboratory data were collected and analysed from patients with Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Jui Government Hospital in Freetown, Sierra Leone, where patients with EVD were received and/or treated from October 1, 2014 to March 21, 2015 during the West Africa EVD outbreak.

Methods: The study admitted 285 patients with confirmed EVD and followed them up till the endpoint (recovery or death). EVD was confirmed by quantitative RT-PCR assays detecting blood Ebola virus (EBOV).

Results: Among the 285 lab-confirmed EVD cases in Jui Government Hospital, 146 recovered and 139 died, with an overall survival rate of 51.23 %. Patients under the age of 6 years had a lower survival rate (37.50 %). Most non-survivors (79.86 %) died within 7 days after admission and the mean hospitalization time for non-survivors was 5.56 ± 6.11 days. More than half survivors (63.69 %) turned blood EBOV negative within 3 weeks after admission and the mean hospitalization time for survivors was 20.38 ± 7.58 days. High blood viral load (≥10 copies/ml) was found to be predictive of the non-survival outcome as indicated by the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The probability of patients' survival was less than 15 % when blood viral load was greater than 10 copies/ml. Multivariate analyses showed that blood viral load (P = 0.005), confusion (P = 0.010), abdominal pain (P = 0.003), conjunctivitis (P = 0.035), and vomiting (P = 0.004) were factors independently associated with the outcomes of EVD patients.

Conclusions: Most death occurred within 1 week after admission, and patients at the age of 6 or younger had a lower survival rate. Most surviving patients turned blood EBOV negative within 1-4 weeks after admission. Factors such as high blood viral load, confusion, abdominal pain, vomiting and conjunctivitis were associated with poor prognosis for EVD patients.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5094140PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40249-016-0195-9DOI Listing

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