Atrial volumes indexed to body surface area (AVI) are robust predictors of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after direct current cardioversion (DCCV). The incremental value of atrial emptying fraction (EmF) compared with atrial volumes as a predictor for recurrent AF after DCCV has not been evaluated. We sought to compare the predictive ability of baseline left atrial (LA) EmF, right atrial (RA) EmF, LAVI, and RAVI for post-DCCV AF recurrence at 6 months. The first 95 patients enrolled in the AF Clinic Registry with adequate echocardiogram imaging constituted the study cohort. Each patient underwent echocardiogram within 6 months before cardioversion. Maximal LAVI and RAVI, LA EmF, and RA EmF were performed offline using 4-chamber single-plane Simpson's method, averaged over 5 cycles. The mean age of the study cohort was 64 ± 12 years, and 67% were men. Only 28 patients (29%) who underwent DCCV remained in sinus rhythm at 6 months of follow-up. The remaining, 67 (71%) had reverted to AF or underwent ablation during the 6 months of follow-up. The overall performance for prediction of AF recurrence was greatest for RA EmF, area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC): RA EmF 0.92, LA EmF 0.89, RAVI 0.76, and LAVI 0.63. RA and LA EmF AUCs were significantly higher than for LAVI or RAVI (max p = 0.02). In conclusion, although RAVI and LAVI are strong predictors of AF recurrence after DCCV, RA and LA EmF outperformed in this cohort.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2016.07.066DOI Listing

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