AI Article Synopsis

  • Mortality rates for people aged 90 and older remain very high, challenging common expectations about aging.
  • The "bathtub" relationship shows how the incidence of chronic conditions, recovery, and death can fluctuate, particularly in the oldest age groups.
  • Even without advancements in healthcare, the prevalence of chronic conditions might decrease among the oldest populations due to the dynamics of aging and mortality.

Article Abstract

Despite mortality improvements, mortality rates among the oldest old (ie, ages 90+) are still extremely high - high enough to invalidate commonly used rules of thumb that apply at younger ages. Due to the "bathtub" relationship between incidence, recovery, death, and prevalence, the prevalence of such chronic conditions may actually drop at the oldest ages, even without medical improvements in prevention or treatment.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.17849/0743-6661-45.1.6DOI Listing

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