[FACTORIAL ANALYSIS IN PROGNOSTICATION OF INFECTIOUS COMPLICATIONS AFTER SIMULTANT OPERATIVE INTERVENTIONS FOR BILIARY CALCULOUS DISEASE].

Prognostication of postoperative complications, having a certain high risk of occurrence in surgical treatment of biliary calculous disease, using laparoscopic and open access, peculiarly while performing simultant operative interventions, may promote the treatment efficacy rising in such patients. A multifactorial disperse analysis, using Statistica 6 for Windows (StatSoft), was applied for prognostication of risk for the infectious complications occurrence while a simultant operative interventions conduction for biliary calculous disease. The indices, which, in accordance to the pathophysiological processes character, may influence the postoperative complications occurrence rate, were analyzed. During conduction of this procedure, a great quantity of the parameters, which were determined in the patients, were transformed to a lesser quantity of independent causes. In the one cause a several variables were cojoined, which, as a rule, correlate with each other closely. On a subsequent stage a sum of the points of the prognosis causes for the risk of the postoperative purulent complications occurrence, as the points sum for the status severity and the operative intervention severity, were calculated. A prognostical validity of the algorithm proposed was tested in clinical conditions, its significance was estimated.