AI Article Synopsis
- Climate scientists have good data on climate risks but lack detailed data on local public opinions about climate change outside the U.S.
- This paper uses a statistical method to estimate climate and energy opinions across Canadian electoral districts, revealing that most Canadians believe climate change is real, with urban areas showing greater support for human-caused climate change.
- The study finds broad support for carbon cap and trade policies across all provinces and districts, while opinions on carbon taxation vary; overall, Canadians show higher belief in climate change compared to Americans.
Article Abstract
While climate scientists have developed high resolution data sets on the distribution of climate risks, we still lack comparable data on the local distribution of public climate change opinions. This paper provides the first effort to estimate local climate and energy opinion variability outside the United States. Using a multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP) approach, we estimate opinion in federal electoral districts and provinces. We demonstrate that a majority of the Canadian public consistently believes that climate change is happening. Belief in climate change's causes varies geographically, with more people attributing it to human activity in urban as opposed to rural areas. Most prominently, we find majority support for carbon cap and trade policy in every province and district. By contrast, support for carbon taxation is more heterogeneous. Compared to the distribution of US climate opinions, Canadians believe climate change is happening at higher levels. This new opinion data set will support climate policy analysis and climate policy decision making at national, provincial and local levels.
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Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4972305 | PMC |
| http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0159774 | PLOS |
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