Peripheral Vascular Disease and Death in Southern European Kidney Transplant Candidates: A Competing Risk Modeling Approach.

Background: The association between peripheral vascular disease (PVD) and survival among kidney transplant (KT) candidates is uncertain.

Methods: We assessed 3851 adult KT candidates from the Andalusian Registry between 1984 and 2012. Whereas 1975 patients received a KT and were censored, 1876 were on the waiting list at any time. Overall median waitlist time was 21.2 months (interquartile range, 11-37.4). We assessed the association between PVD and mortality in waitlisted patients using a multivariate Cox regression model, with a competing risk approach as a sensitivity analysis.

Results: Peripheral vascular disease existed in 308 KT candidates at waitlist entry. The prevalence of PVD among nondiabetic and diabetic patients was 4.5% and 25.3% (P < 0.0001). All-cause mortality was higher in candidates with PVD (45% vs 21%; P < 0.0001). Among patients on the waiting list (n = 1876) who died (n = 446; 24%), 272 (61%) died within 2 years after listing. Cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality at 2 years in patients with and without PVD was 23% and 6.4%, respectively (P < 0.0001); similar differences were observed in patients with and without diabetes. By competing risk models, PVD was associated with a 1.9-fold increased risk of mortality (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.4-2.5). This association was stronger in waitlisted patients without cardiac disease (subhazard ratio, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.6-3.1) versus those with cardiac disorders (subhazard ratio, 1.5; 95% CI, 0.9-2.5). No other significant interactions were observed. Similar results were seen after excluding diabetics.

Conclusions: Peripheral vascular disease is a strong predictor of mortality in KT candidates. Identification of PVD at list entry may contribute to optimize targeted therapeutic interventions and help prioritize high-risk KT candidates.