In 2012, an outbreak of infection with Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV), was detected in the Arabian Peninsula. Modeling can produce estimates of the expected annual number of symptomatic cases of MERS-CoV infection exported and the likelihood of exportation from source countries in the Middle East to countries outside the region.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4806968PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2204.150976DOI Listing

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