Predicting prognosis based on the shape of the left ventricular cavity in dilated cardiomyopathy: analysis using rate of improvement in the circle index.

Purpose: To elucidate the relation between a quantitative measure of the shape of the left ventricular cavity, cardiac function, and prognosis in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM).

Methods: The hearts of 20 healthy individuals and 18 patients with DCM were evaluated. Participants were aged 48.5 ± 5.0 years. On the basis of end-systolic four-chamber view echocardiograms, the endocardium of the left ventricle was traced and the resulting curve was segmented using 100 points. A line tangential to the curve was then drawn at each point, and the angle between two adjacent tangential lines was calculated. The deviation of these angles was designated as the circle index. The circle index and hemodynamic findings in patients with DCM were compared, and the rate of improvement in the circle index in these cases of DCM was determined. These patients were then placed into one of two groups: group R (11 patients), those with improvement rates of 10% or higher at time of discharge; and group NR (seven patients), those with rates less than 10%. Diuretic (furosemide) use, New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification, and readmission rate for the two groups were compared 2 years after discharge.

Results: The circle index was 2.7 ± 0.9 in the DCM group and 17.5 ± 4.2 in the healthy group (P < 0.01). The circle index in the DCM group was correlated with pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (r(2) = 0.42). Use of furosemide was unchanged in group R 2 years after discharge, but had increased for all patients in group NR. All cases in group R were classified as NYHA I 2 years after discharge. In group NR, in contrast, although all cases were classified as NYHA I at discharge, five of seven cases had deteriorated to NYHA III-IV 2 years later and were readmitted to hospital.

Conclusion: There appears to be a quantifiable correlation between the circularity of the left ventricular cavity and the circle index. This suggests that rate of improvement after treatment for heart failure could predict prognosis in patients with DCM.