Portal response related to shunt occlusion by balloon-occluded retrograde transvenous obliteration may determine the prognosis of cirrhosis.

Aim: To determine the prognostic effect of portal hemodynamic responses after balloon-occluded retrograde transvenous obliteration (B-RTO) for gastric varices (GV) in cirrhosis patients.

Methods: This retrospective study consisted of 37 cirrhosis patients (aged 62.5 ± 9.7 years) with medium- or large-grade GV treated with B-RTO. Portal hemodynamic response was assessed by the changes in flow volume in the portal trunk (PFV, mL/min) before and after the treatment. Group I showed increased PFV and group II showed no increase in PFV. The median observation period was 49.8 months (range, 4.7-150.3 months).

Results: All patients showed complete embolization of GV without any recurrence. There were 30 patients in group I and 7 patients in group II (decreased PFV in 6 and unchanged PFV in 1). The PFV at baseline was significantly lower in the former (583.5 ± 232.0 mL/min) than in the latter (880.7 ± 345.9 mL/min; P = 0.009). The survival rate was significantly lower in group II (83.3% at 1 year and 66.7% at 3 years) than in group I (96.7% at 1 year, 81.5% at 3 years, and 61.8% at 5 years; P = 0.012). The incidence of deterioration of the esophageal varices was 18/30 (60%) in group I and 5/7 (71.4%; P = 0.687) in group II. Multivariate analysis identified only no increase in portal response (hazard ratio, 8.086; P = 0.005) as an independent factor for poor prognosis.

Conclusion: Balloon-occluded retrograde transvenous obliteration for GV may result in a poor prognosis when portal hemodynamics shows no increase in portal response.