Serum and mucosal antibodies fail as prognostic markers during critical influenza A infection.

Background: Previous studies have indicated that the absence of serum antibodies to influenza A H1N1 virus on day 4 after onset of symptoms predicted a fatal outcome in patients critically ill with influenza. The underlying mechanism was suggested to be the trapping of anti-influenza antibodies in pulmonary immune complexes.

Objectives: To study serum and mucosal antibodies as prognostic markers in patients with severe influenza A H1N1 infection.

Study Design: Blood and respiratory samples (n=324) from 12 patients with severe influenza were analysed for anti-H1N1 antibodies with and without immune complex dissociation from symptom onset until convalescence or death (follow up 14-169 days). Eleven healthy subjects were analysed for comparison.

Results: One of the 12 patients died from influenza pneumonia and had no detectable anti-H1N1 serum antibodies. However, also 2 of the 11 surviving patients remained negative for anti-H1N1 serum antibodies during follow-up (20 and 41 days, respectively). In six of the 11 survivors serum antibodies on day 4 were negative, but turned positive between day 7 and 23. In the remaining 3 patients antibodies were detected in the first 4 days of illness. Mucosal IgG or IgA was detected in all of the patients regardless of their clinical outcome and in 4 of 11 healthy subjects. No mucosal immune complexes were found in the patient who died but were detected in 3 of the 11 survivors.

Conclusions: This study suggests that no prognostic conclusions can be drawn from anti-H1N1 serum and mucosal antibodies in patients with severe influenza.