A Simple Geometric Assessment of Perfusion Lesion Volume at Hyperacute Stage of Ischemic Stroke in Patients with Symptomatic Steno-Occlusion of Major Cerebral Arteries and Risk of Subsequent Cerebral Ischemic Events.

Our objective is to elucidate the association of baseline perfusion lesion volume on perfusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (PWI) obtained at hyperacute stage of ischemic stroke with subsequent cerebral ischemic events (SIEs) in patients with symptomatic steno-occlusion of major cerebral arteries. Using a prospective stroke registry database, patients arriving within 24 hours of onset with symptomatic steno-occlusion of major supratentorial cerebral arteries were identified. On baseline PWI, time-to-peak lesion volume (TTP-LV) was determined by a simple geometric method and dichotomized into the highest tertile (large) and the other tertiles (small to medium) according to the vascular territory of occluded arteries. Primary outcome was a time to SIE up to 1 year after stroke onset. A total of 385 patients (a median time delay from onset to arrival, 2.2 hours) were enrolled. During the first year of stroke, the SIE rate of the large TTP-LV group was twice that of the small-to-medium TTP-LV group (35.7% versus 17.4%; P < .001). Large TTP-LV independently raised the hazard of SIE (hazard ratio, 2.24; 95% confidence interval, 1.45-3.44). This study demonstrates that TTP-LV on PWI measured through a simple geometric method at an emergency setting can be used to predict progression or recurrence of ischemic stroke in patients with symptomatic steno-occlusion of major cerebral arteries.