Blood pressure variability predicts cardiovascular events independently of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and target organ damage: a LIFE substudy.

Background: Assessment of antihypertensive treatment is normally based on the mean value of a number of blood pressure (BP) measurements. However, it is uncertain whether high in-treatment visit-to-visit BP variability may be harmful in hypertensive patients with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH).

Methods: In 8505 patients randomized to losartan vs. atenolol-based treatment in the LIFE study, we tested whether BP variability assessed as SD and range for BP6-24 months measured at 6, 12, 18 and 24 months of treatment was associated with target organ damage (TOD) defined by LVH on ECG and urine albumin/creatinine ratio at 24 months, and predicted the composite endpoint (CEP) of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke occurring after 24 months (CEP = 630 events).

Results: In multiple regression models adjusted for mean BP6-24 months and treatment allocation, neither high BP6-24 months SD nor wide range were related to TOD at 24 months, except for a weak association between Sokolow-Lyon voltage and DBP6-24 months SD and range (both β = 0.04, P < 0.01). Independently of mean BP6-24 months, treatment allocation, TOD and baseline characteristics in Cox regression models, CEP after 24 months was associated with DBP6-24 months SD [hazard ratio per 1 mmHg increase1.04, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.01-1.06, P = 0.005], range (hazard ratio 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03, P = 0.004), SBP6-24 months SD (hazard ratio 1.01, 95% CI 0.99-1.02, P = 0.07) and range (hazard ratio 1.006, 95% CI 1.001-1.01, P = 0.04). Adjusted for the same factors, stroke was associated with DBP6-24 months SD (hazard ratio 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10, P = 0.001), range (hazard ratio 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.04, P = 0.001), SBP6-24 months SD (hazard ratio 1.02, 95% CI 1.002-1.04, P = 0.04) and range (hazard ratio 1.008, 95% CI 1.001-1.02, P = 0.05), but MI was not.

Conclusion: In LIFE patients, higher in-treatment BP6-24 months variability was independently of mean BP6-24 months associated with later CEP and stroke, but not with MI or TOD after 24 months.