Image-based monitoring of targeted biopsy-proven prostate cancer on active surveillance: 11-year experience.

Purpose: To report our 11-year experience of Active Surveillance (AS) program focusing on modern transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-based monitoring of targeted biopsy-proven cancer lesion.

Methods: Consecutive patients on AS, who had targeted biopsy-proven lesion followed by at least a repeat surveillance biopsy and three times TRUS monitoring of the identical visible lesion, were included. Doppler grade of blood flow signal within the lesion was classified from grade 0 to 3. Biopsy-proven progression was defined as upgrade of Gleason score or 25% or greater increase in cancer core involvement.

Results: Fifty patients were included in this study. Clinical variables (median) included age (61 years), clinical stage (T1c, 42;T2, 8), PSA (4.6 ng/ml), and Gleason score (3 + 3, n = 41;3 + 4, n = 9). Of the 50 patients, 34 demonstrated pathological progression at a median follow-up of 4.4 years. In comparing between without (n = 16) and with (n = 34) pathological progression, there were significant differences in cancer core involvement at entry (p = 0.003), the major axis diameter (p = 0.001) and minor axis diameter (p = 0.001) of the visible lesion at entry, increase in the major axis diameter (p = 0.005) and minor axis diameter (p = 0.013), and upgrade of Doppler grade (p < 0.0001). In multivariate analysis for predicting pathological progression, the increase (≥25%) in diameter of biopsy-proven lesion (hazard ratio, 15.314; p = 0.023) and upgrade of Doppler grade (hazard ratio, 37.409; p = 0.019) were significant risk factors.

Conclusions: Longitudinal monitoring of the TRUS-visible biopsy-proven cancer provides a new opportunity to perform per-lesion-based AS. The increase in diameter and upgrade of Doppler grade of the lesion were significant risk factors for biopsy-proven progression on AS.