Objective: This study sought to identify predictors of relapse in a behavior therapy trial for trichotillomania (TTM), or hair-pulling disorder. Relapse is common after treatment for TTM, and only a few studies have examined what might predict relapse.

Method: Data was examined from a TTM treatment study with a stepped-care approach (step 1. web-based self-help; step 2. individual behavior therapy) (N = 60). Implications of significant predictive relations were illustrated by constructing Probability of Treatment Benefit (PTB) charts (Lindhiem, Kolko, & Cheng, 2012), which quantify the probability of maintaining gains according to predictors of maintenance.

Results: Abstinence at the conclusion of treatment and lower TTM severity during initial response significantly predicted maintenance. Abstinence periods prior to treatment, residual urges after achieving abstinence, pre-treatment TTM severity, intrinsic motivation, and treatment compliance did not predict maintenance.

Conclusions: Post-treatment abstinence and lower TTM severity during initial response predicted maintenance. Replications of this research are needed to determine the usefulness of these possible predictors in identifying relapse-prone patients, with the aim of improving clinical decision-making and developing strategies to help these patients better maintain gains. This is the first TTM study to use PTB charts, which can help clarify the meaning of prognostic analyses.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4231486PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jocrd.2014.09.001DOI Listing

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