Modelling diseases with relapse and nonlinear incidence of infection: a multi-group epidemic model.

J Biol Dyn

a School of Mathematics and Statistics , Southwest University, Chongqing 400715 , People's Republic of China.

Published: June 2015

AI Article Synopsis

  • The paper presents a basic reproduction number for a multi-group SIR model that incorporates a general relapse distribution and a nonlinear incidence rate, highlighting its importance as a threshold for understanding disease dynamics.
  • If the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to one, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable, leading to the disease's extinction; if greater than one, a unique endemic equilibrium persists globally, indicating continued disease presence in the population.
  • The findings suggest that the general relapse distribution does not contribute to sustained oscillations, making the model relevant for sexually transmitted diseases like Herpes and Condyloma acuminatum.

Article Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a basic reproduction number for a multi-group SIR model with general relapse distribution and nonlinear incidence rate. We find that basic reproduction number plays the role of a key threshold in establishing the global dynamics of the model. By means of appropriate Lyapunov functionals, a subtle grouping technique in estimating the derivatives of Lyapunov functionals guided by graph-theoretical approach and LaSalle invariance principle, it is proven that if it is less than or equal to one, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable and the disease dies out; whereas if it is larger than one, some sufficient condition is obtained in ensuring that there is a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally stable and thus the disease persists in the population. Furthermore, our results suggest that general relapse distribution are not the reason of sustained oscillations. Biologically, our model might be realistic for sexually transmitted diseases, such as Herpes, Condyloma acuminatum, etc.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4220829PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2014.912682DOI Listing

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