Beyond network structure: How heterogeneous susceptibility modulates the spread of epidemics.

Sci Rep

1] Macedonian Academy for Sciences and Arts, Skopje, Macedonia [2] BioCircuits Institute, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA [3] Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering, University "Sv Kiril i Metodij", Skopje, Macedonia.

Published: April 2014

The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals, and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we show that-for the SIS model-differential susceptibility can make networks more vulnerable to the spread of diseases when the correlation between a node's degree and susceptibility are positive, and less vulnerable when this correlation is negative. Moreover, we show that networks become more likely to contain a pocket of infection when individuals are more likely to connect with others that have similar susceptibility (the network is segregated). These results show that the failure to include differential susceptibility to epidemic models can lead to a systematic over/under estimation of fundamental epidemic parameters when the structure of the networks is not independent from the susceptibility of the nodes or when there are correlations between the susceptibility of connected individuals.

Download full-text PDF

Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3999455PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep04795DOI Listing

Publication Analysis

Top Keywords

susceptibility
9
epidemic spreading
8
susceptibility epidemic
8
network structure
4
structure heterogeneous
4
heterogeneous susceptibility
4
susceptibility modulates
4
modulates spread
4
spread epidemics
4
epidemics compartmental
4

Similar Publications

Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?

Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!