The risk of traumatic lumbar punctures in children with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia.

Background: Traumatic lumbar punctures with blasts (TLP+) in children with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) obscure central nervous system status and are associated with a poorer event-free survival (EFS).

Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all lumbar punctures (LPs) for children with ALL diagnosed at our institution from 2005 to 2009. We utilised random-effects and fixed-effects repeated-measures logistic regression analyses to identify risk factors for TLPs. Fixed-effects models use each patient as his or her own control. We used survival analysis to describe outcomes after a TLP+.

Results: 264 children underwent 5267 evaluable lumbar punctures (LPs), of which 944 (17.9%) were traumatic. In the multivariable random-effects model, variables significantly associated with TLPs were age <1year (odds ratio (OR) 3.46, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.06-5.81) or age ⩾10years (OR 2.00, CI 1.66-2.40); body mass index percentile ⩾95 (OR 1.44, CI 1.19-1.75); platelet count <100×10(3)/μL (OR 1.49, CI 1.08-20.7); fewer days since previous LP (OR 5.13, CI 2.34-11.25 for ⩾16days versus 0-3days); and a preceding TLP (OR 1.43, CI 1.19-1.73). In the fixed-effects model, image-guidance reduced the odds of TLP (OR 0.55, CI 0.32-0.95). The 5-year EFS (±SE) for children with TLP+ (77±8%) was significantly lower than for children with CNS1 status (93±2%; p=0.002).

Conclusions: The frequency of TLP remains high. Consistent with previous studies, a TLP+ at diagnosis was associated with a poorer EFS. These risk factors can allow identifying interventions to reduce TLPs and directing interventions to those at highest risk.