Nutritional risk and body mass index predict hospitalization, nursing home admissions, and mortality in community-dwelling older adults: results from the UAB Study of Aging with 8.5 years of follow-up.

Background: Nutritional risk and low BMI are common among community-dwelling older adults, but it is unclear what associations these factors have with health services utilization and mortality over long-term follow-up. The aim of this study was to assess prospective associations of nutritional risk and BMI with all-cause, nonsurgical, and surgical hospitalization; nursing home admission; and mortality over 8.5 years.

Methods: Data are from 1,000 participants in the University of Alabama at Birmingham Study of Aging, a longitudinal, observational study of older black and white residents of Alabama aged 65 and older. Nutritional risk was assessed using questions associated with the DETERMINE checklist. BMI was categorized as underweight (<18.5), normal weight (18.5-24.9), overweight (25.0-29.9), class I obese (30.0-34.9), and classes II and III obese (≥35.0). Cox proportional hazards models were fit to assess risk of all-cause, nonsurgical, and surgical hospitalization; nursing home admission; and mortality. Covariates included social support, social isolation, comorbidities, and demographic measures.

Results: In adjusted models, persons with high nutritional risk had 51% greater risk of all-cause hospitalization (95% confidence interval: 1.14-2.00) and 50% greater risk of nonsurgical hospitalizations (95% confidence interval: 1.11-2.01; referent: low nutritional risk). Persons with moderate nutritional risk had 54% greater risk of death (95% confidence interval: 1.19-1.99). BMI was not associated with any outcomes in adjusted models.

Conclusions: Nutritional risk was associated with all-cause hospitalizations, nonsurgical hospitalizations, and mortality. Nutritional risk may affect the disablement process that leads to health services utilization and death. These findings point to the need for more attention on nutritional assessment, interventions, and services for community-dwelling older adults.