A systematic review of the predictive value of 18F-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography on survival in locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

Aim: Treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) includes preoperative radiation therapy with or without chemotherapy followed by radical surgery, but the clinical outcome is uncertain. A systemic review was carried out to determine the predictive value of (18)F-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography ((18)FDG-PET) for assessing disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in LARC.

Method: A literature search (PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane) up to January 2012 to identify full papers with sequential (18)FDG-PET and survival data, using indexing terms and free text words. The inclusion criteria were: a study of at least 10 patients, having sequential (18)FDG-PET imaging before and after adjuvant chemoradiation and a minimal follow-up of 24 months. Studies were selected by two of the authors. A meta-analysis was performed for DFS and OS using the hazard ratio (HR) as the primary outcome.

Results: Five eligible studies were identified including 330 patients (mean age 63 years, 64% men), in which PET-CT or PET imaging was used. The American Joint Committee on Cancer stage distribution was as follows: Stage I, 2%; Stage II, 44%; Stage III, 52%; Stage IV, 1%. The pooled HRs for complete metabolic response versus partial or no response were 0.39 (95% CI 0.18-0.86; P = 0.02) for OS and 0.70 (95% CI 0.16-3.14; P = 0.64) for DFS. The lack of significance for DFS might be explained by different follow-up characteristics. There was also clinical heterogeneity among the different studies.

Conclusion: This systematic review indicates that complete metabolic response on sequential (18)FDG-PET data after preoperative chemoradiation of LARC is predictive of OS, but not of DFS.