Clinical value of inflammatory urinary biomarkers in overt diabetic nephropathy: a prospective study.

Aims: The evolution of diabetic nephropathy is incompletely accounted by current clinical tools. New biomarkers may refine patient assessment and help monitor therapy. We compared the added predictive value of 7 candidate inflammatory urinary biomarkers to known risk factors of progression.

Methods: We prospectively followed 83 patients with overt diabetic nephropathy for a median 2.1 years and obtained repeated measurements of proteinuria, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-8, MCP-1, TNF-α, TGF-β1, and PAI-1.

Results: Patients had an initial estimated glomerular filtration rate of 25 ± 9 mL/min/1.73 m(2), blood pressure of 142/69 mmHg and used a median of 4 anti-hypertensive medications over the course of the study. The observed rate of renal function decline was 2.9 ± 3.0 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/year. All urinary biomarkers levels were collinear and for each one except IL-1β, elevated levels predicted a more rapid progression. MCP-1 was the only biomarker increasing during follow-up, which also correlated with a worst outcome. Using multivariate linear regression adjusting for clinical risk factors of progression, urinary MCP-1 and TGF-β1 predicted progression independently and additively to the degree of proteinuria. We dichotomized these 3 biomarkers and observed a renal function decline with 0, 1, 2 or 3 elevated biomarkers of -0.8 ± 1.4, -2.1 ± 2.1, -4.2 ± 2.8 and -6.0 ± 2.8 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/year, respectively (p<0.001).

Conclusions: Multiple urinary biomarkers predict outcome in overt diabetic nephropathy. However, urinary MCP-1 and TGF-β1 are also independent and additive to proteinuria in predicting the rate of renal function decline and could serve as useful clinical tools in patient risk stratification.