AI Article Synopsis

  • Researchers aimed to assess the potential of Ca 15.3 as a biomarker for systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) by analyzing data from 221 patients, 168 of whom showed ILD on high-resolution CT scans.
  • The study found a strong correlation between Ca 15.3 serum levels and HRCT scores, indicating that Ca 15.3 can effectively differentiate between patients at low and high risk for disease progression and has significant prognostic value.
  • The combined use of Ca 15.3 and HRCT scores outperformed traditional methods in predicting patient outcomes, making Ca 15.3 a promising, low-cost biomarker for assessing lung injury in SSc-ILD patients.

Article Abstract

Background: To determine the usefulness of Ca 15.3 as a candidate biomarker in systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD).

Methods: Two-hundred-twenty-one SSc patients with Ca 15.3 determinations were considered; 168 had evidence of interstitial lung involvement on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT); digitalized scans were available for scoring in 84 subjects. Discrimination between patients with or without ILD, was assessed by receiving operating characteristics (ROC) analysis; correlations between HRCT scores and Ca 15.3 were performed. Survival and serial pulmonary function tasting (PFT) data were used for prognostication.

Results: Ca 15.3 serum levels strongly correlated with HRCT scores (r=0.734, p<0.0001) which were predictors of survival at the 20% threshold (p=3.1∗10(-4)). Ca 15.3 had an area under ROC to detect the meaningful 20% fibrosis extent equal to 0.927 and abnormal Ca 15.3 values were capable of differentiating between patients at hi- or low-risk for progression in the group with undetermined disease extent (HR=3.209, confidence interval [CI95]=1.56-6.602, p=0.002). Ca 15.3 outperformed other PFT measures in providing a separation of survival estimates where HRCT scans are unavailable. The combined use of HRCT scores and Ca 15.3 in SSc-ILD patients was more discriminatory (HR=4.824, CI95=2.612-8.912, p<0.0001) than the staging system based on HRCT scores plus FVC (HR=2.657, CI95=1.703-4.147, p<0.0001) and characterized by lower prediction errors (0.2134 vs 0.2234).

Conclusion: Ca 15.3 is a rapid and inexpensive candidate biomarker for SSc-ILD being proportional to the extent of lung injury and specific and sensitive in assessing meaningful extents of the disease with prognostic significance.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejim.2013.04.004DOI Listing

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