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Net present value approaches for drug discovery. | LitMetric

Net present value approaches for drug discovery.

Springerplus

Department of Pharmaceutical Biosciences, Division of Pharmaceutical Bioinformatics, Biomedical Centre, Uppsala University, Box 591, SE751 24 Uppsala, Sweden.

Published: December 2013

AI Article Synopsis

Article Abstract

Three dedicated approaches to the calculation of the risk-adjusted net present value (rNPV) in drug discovery projects under different assumptions are suggested. The probability of finding a candidate drug suitable for clinical development and the time to the initiation of the clinical development is assumed to be flexible in contrast to the previously used models. The rNPV of the post-discovery cash flows is calculated as the probability weighted average of the rNPV at each potential time of initiation of clinical development. Practical considerations how to set probability rates, in particular during the initiation and termination of a project is discussed.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3622797PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/2193-1801-2-140DOI Listing

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